Consumer Prices See Lowest Rise in Five Years
According to the Korea Statistics Office’s report released on the 31st, the annual consumer price inflation for 2024 was **2.1%**. This is the lowest since 2020, when it was just 0.5%, during the peak of COVID-19. In December, prices rose by 2.3%, mainly driven by exchange rate effects that pushed up oil prices (6.1%) and imported agricultural and livestock products like bananas (6.1%) and kiwis (18.2%) [1].
While many still feel inflation is high, a weak won has contributed to rising costs for oil, bananas, kiwis, and other imported goods [1]. The government is working to stabilize the currency to help keep inflation in check.
Stock Market Closes at New Highs: Samsung & SK Hynix Reach Record Prices
On the 30th, Samsung Electronics closed at 119,900 won ($90), up 0.33%, and SK Hynix finished at 651,000 won ($490), up 1.72%, both hitting all-time highs [2]. Samsung’s stock has surged by 124.5% since the start of the year, while SK Hynix has skyrocketed by 279%, driven by a recovery in the memory chip market.
The KOSPI index dipped slightly by 0.15% to 4,214.17 but still gained 75% since January, showing strong growth for the year. The Korean stock market will be closed on New Year’s Day and reopen on January 2 [2].
Exports Hit Record $700 Billion, Concerns Over Semiconductor Dependency
This year, Korea’s total exports surpassed $700 billion for the first time, ranking sixth globally [3]. However, the growth was mainly driven by semiconductors, while exports of oil products, petrochemicals, displays, and secondary batteries declined by double digits [3].
- Secondary Batteries: Slower EV demand led to more canceled supply contracts [3]
- Oil Products: Decreased by double digits [3]
Looking ahead, the Korea Institute for Industrial Economics & Trade warns that U.S. tariffs in 2026 could reduce exports by 0.5%, with the government’s expansion policies projected to grow the economy by around 1.9%. The country remains heavily reliant on semiconductors, which poses ongoing structural risks.
What to Watch in 2026: AI Bubble, Exchange Rates, and U.S. Interest Rates
Next year, the stock market could be influenced by concerns over an AI hype bubble, rising USD/KRW exchange rates, and potential U.S. interest rate cuts [4]. The won is expected to fluctuate around 1,400 against the dollar due to the inverted interest rate environment, and U.S. IPOs like OpenAI could boost market optimism [4].
Meanwhile, Trump’s trade policies might shift from negative to positive, providing some relief. Samsung and SK Hynix are also expected to benefit from increased investments in hyperscale data centers [4].
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